here we go again
2012 just ain't gonna be your year!
Politics is politics, not a lot can be done to change that. Everybody has an opinion about the state of the nation and what needs to be done to set things right, (and unsaid with that is what things need not be done, so as not to upset the apple cart in what the individual feels are critical areas. I have my thoughts and you have yours, it's only human).
Like a small and unnoticed minority of Americans, I have been following the GOP debates and have been impressed with the huge disconnect between what most candidates say and what they have done in the past. The media has noticed it, and when any aspect is pointed out they are quickly painted with some epithet by Sarah Palin or Rush Limbaugh or one of the other apologists as "libtards' or "lamestream" or something to cover for the fact that there is no real explanation for the fact gap.
The gap is not good. The actions of the candidates are not necessarily bad, or indefensible, or representative or some flaw in character, but they do represent a failing to face reality when standing in front of people that they want something from.
I think that is one of the foundations of Ron Paul's attractiveness as a candidate. What you see is what you get, even if it is nuts. Chris Christie is, in many respects the same way. He has a talent for delivering a "yeah I did it, so what?" answer in such a way that it disarms without too much offense. He is also smart enough not to get into a shit throwing contest with people who would do what they are doing to get a job that they cannot do to enhance a reputation that (probably) cannot be enhanced.
So, how will the year turn out? (Besides not too good?).
Right now, I think that the GOP nomination will go to Herm Cain or Mitt Romney, and either one can be beaten by Obama. (Whether that will happen is anybodies guess...). In a Romney/Obama matchup, truthfully, it would be hard to distinguish between the two candidates in terms of platform, anything Romney says in terms of arch-conservative rhetoric would be seen as just that, (based on past performance as opposed to lip service), and he would suffer from the tepid support of the tea party and the fundamentalist factions, though I suspect that they are much magnified by the volume of their vocals. He would have the advantage of being able to bully the Congress a little bit, taking from them the mantle of "loyal opposition". But he would have to deliver, damn quick, or the GOP would suffer a fate similar to the one that Herbert Hoover bequeathed upon it.
A Cain/Obama matchup would be a bit different, but he would be the Obama of 2012, the man with simple solutions to complex problems. He would also have to problem of wanting to undo the popular things that Obama got through. Nevermind that they were done badly, they were done, like the Chiefs winning a game for once, a win is a win. He is a bit too much of an ideological purist, and his ideas, that sound really good, often don't survive a fifteen minute debate without some serious doubt.s being raised.
It ain't that easy, and above all else, none of the GOP candidates has a good explanation for why these plans embed, preserve and in some cases extend advantages to their own pet constituencies, (yes, that means the wealthy, but usually specific subsets of that overused term).
Any mention of that results in charges of "class warfare". Well, we seem to be in one, why not call it what it is?
Then there is Ron Paul.
At least the guy means what he says. I don't think he can get from where we are to where he wants us to be without completely destroying western civilization, but the guy has some balls.
His son is an asshole. Period.
Like I started with, 2012 is not going to be a banner year for anybody.
posted by eccentric recluse at 2:02 PM
2 Comments:
In the past couple of debates, a few things have come clear, as it pertains to some of the candidates. Last night, Mitt Romney distinguished his candidacy by molding himself after GW Bush. George III. His team has many of the faces from the Bush II administration, and he went so far as to defend the wall street bailout (TARP) while blasting the auto industry bailout, because one was vital and one was not.
To me, it sounded a lot like its OK if a republican does it.
Then we have Rick Perry. To read his press releases, you'd think that he rides a horse with a rope and a noose on the side, and a 9mm pistol looking for illegals to deal with. In reality, he is more of a pragmatist, (a stance that I find reasonable), but it leaves me asking, who is the real Rick Perry, and why is he not speaking for himself instead of pandering to the checkbooks.
Herm cain defended his tax proposal, but it does not seem well thought out. He still scores for originality and bold engagement.
Ron Paul needs some fire under his ass. People like him, but he needs to realize that he is selling himself and an idea, and they ain't gonna come to him with grateful tidings.
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